Firth Investment

Extreme concentration

May 16, 2019

Market performance is being driven by a very small number of stocks; i.e. performance concentration is extreme. We are not…

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Firth Investment

Value, value and more value

November 19, 2018

Revisiting our quantitative approach to style bias prediction, we continue to find strong support for a value bias in Asian…

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Firth Investment

How much is enough?

October 29, 2018

In a selloff, investors are vexed by the question of when to buy. We measure historic Asian market draw-downs and…

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Firth Investment

Alibaba and the miraculous recovery

October 25, 2018

Unrealized gains in Alibaba’s portfolio investments repre-sent a substantial proportion of the company’s reported earnings. The performance of its portfolio…

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Firth Investment

A new opportunity for active managers

June 04, 2018

Structural and cyclical changes in industry benchmarks can mean these evolve into poor metrics for assessing active manager skill. We…

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Firth Investment

Chasing hype

August 08, 2017

Recent concentration in market breadth, extremes in factor bias and signals from our systematic portfolio’s automatic market risk stabilizer all…

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Firth Investment

Next step in style and size

November 28, 2016

Historically, Fed tightening, combined with a range of other key factors evident in current market conditions, presages a 12 month…

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Firth Investment

Benchmarking vs portfolio diversification

October 18, 2016

Benchmarking can encourage sub-optimal behavior in the medium to long term. This is particularly topical given just 4 stocks represent…

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Firth Investment

Unintended use for stock analysts

August 12, 2016

Despite much suspicion regarding the “quality” of analysts’ earnings forecasts, there is valuable information in these. An unintended consequence of…

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Firth Investment

Companies don’t like losses

August 03, 2016

Firm management can actively seek to avoid losses by manipulating earnings. However, if a loss is unavoidable, then there is…

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